RF 'SMO' 2nd Year significant event timeline with 10 questions and opinions

Question 11> What will a future peace treaty between the Russian Federation and Ukraine be based on? 1) Reality on the ground 2) negotiated compromise 3)historical justice?

> On June 4, 2023 - The Ukrainian 37th Marine Brigade launched a huge counteroffensive on the Zaporozhye front as part of an additional estimated Ukrainian 60,000 soldiers organized into twelve brigades along the entire front line.
1) Was Ukraine's counteroffensive successful?

Opinion> No. The Ukrainian military never reached the city of Tokmak, described as a "minimum goal" by Ukrainian general Oleksandr Tarnavskyi^. and completely failed the initial objective of reaching the Sea of Azov to split the Russian forces in Kherson region from Crimea. And most important, the land bridge corridor from Kherson, Zaporozhye, Donetsk regions to Crimea and the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant remained liberated. Although the Ukraine military breached the Russian 1st line of defense in several areas along the front line, notably (Lobkovoe and Pyatikhatka bulge, Rabotino bulge, Staromayorsky and Urozhaynoye bulge, Krinki bulge on the eastern bank of the Dnieper River), (fast forward to February 2025), the Russian Federation successfully liberated these village areas again.

> On June 6, 2023 - The Kakhovka Dam on the Dnieper completely collapsed, flooding vast areas downstream and reducing water supplies to Crimea.

2) Who destroyed the Kakhovka Dam and why?

Opinion> Ukraine military was responsible for the Kakhovka Dam destruction. While no large explosions were recorded immediately before the dam collapsed, the Ukrainian military repeatedly targeted the dam for many months with US-supplied HIMARS missiles, in an effort to destroy it and cause the Dnieper to flood downstream. "The Ukrainian armed forces had a specific task to bring the dam to such a state that it would cease to serve as a road bridge and railway transport hub and destroy it,” the governor of Russia’s Kherson Region, Vladimir Saldo stated. He also noted that the dam was directly hit over a long period by Ukraine until it reached a critical state and collapsed. Moreover, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova accused the Ukrainian government of having something to hide due to Ukraine's refusal to support a UN-backed three-party independent investigation into the Kakhovka hydroelectric dam destruction. One Ukrainian motive was to sever the land bridge over the Dnieper river to the other side of the Kherson region. The other Ukrainian motive was to enable the reservoir to drain out in order to aid their military counteroffensive for crossing into the Russian liberated Kherson region. And another motive was to completely disable/destroy the Russian controlled Kakhovka hydroelectric power station located on the Kakhovka Dam structure. Finally, the question of who benefits implicates Ukraine's culpability. According to Russian Emergencies Ministry, on Russian liberated territory, more than 57 people were killed and 175 injured. More than 700 residential houses were flooded. More than 20,000 people were evacuated from the flood zone. Although both banks of the Dnieper River were flooded, the Russian lower elevation side of the river bank suffered more deaths, more homes destroyed, and more ecological damage. The total damage (including washed away fertile farmlands) caused by the destruction of the Kakhovka Dam and hydroelectric power plant has been estimated at over 500 billion rubles ($5 billion), Deputy Prime Minister of the Kherson Region Alexander Vetrov stated.

> On June 23, 2023 - Units of Wagner Private Military Company (PMC) led by Evgeny Prigozhin withdrew from the theater of operations and started a "armed military protest" solely against the General Staff (Russian military headquarters decision makers). During his "armed military protest", PMC Wagner crossed a red line and shot down Russian aircraft that resulted in deaths of Russian military men. Evgeny Prigozhin stated that he considered his actions as self defense that protected his military convoy on the way to Rostov-on-Don.

3) Why did Evgeny Prigozhin start an "armed military protest" solely against the General Staff of the Russian Federation?

Opinion> Earlier in the year 2023, Evgeny Prigozhin publicly accused the Russian Defense Ministry of failing to provide adequate ammunition/advanced equipment for his Wagner PMC. Evgeny Prigozhin publicly expressed his disappointment toward the Minister of Defense, Sergey Shoigu and Chief of the General Staff, Valery Gerasimov for not coordinating the protection of his Wagner PMC flanks during the Artemovsk (Bakhmut) victory battle that resulted in excessive deaths of his PMC fighters. Evgeny Prigozhin also blamed the General Staff for failed military strategies and inadequate logistic supplies that resulted in autumn 2022 retreats in the Kherson and Kharkov regions. The "final nail in the coffin" that infuriated Evgeny Prigozhin was that the Ministry of Defense insisted that Wagner PMC fighters must sign new military contracts, a demand that would disband Wagner PMC. Akin to a star football striker pulled off the football pitch and directed to the locker room in the middle of a high stakes World Cup football match to sign a new contract with new terms/conditions under the control of a new "owner"- the General Staff. Evgeny Prigozhin portrayed his "armed military protest" as a "march of justice" against the Russian "military establishment" and demanded that Sergey Shoigu and Valery Gerasimov be removed from their top rank positions. In the early morning of 24 June, Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin denounced the Wagner Group's actions as "treason" and a "mutiny" in a televised address. Tensions escalated to a boiling point where Wagner PMC controlled the Rostov-on-Don military headquarters while another PMC Wagner armed military contingent convoy drove towards Moscow. Fortunately, a peaceful solution was brokered by Belarus President Lukashenko between Wagner PMC and President Putin and intelligence authorities. Patrick Lancaster, an American journalist, video recorded joyousness amid celebrations in Rostov-on-Don when a peace agreement with PMC Wagner was announced and the sacred unity of the Russian Federation was thankfully preserved. Russian Federation unity is most important especially when the Ukrainian military just launched their large counter offensive.

>On July 17, 2023 - Ukrainian unmanned remote controlled surface sea drones attacked the Crimean Bridge. CNN described the sea drones as five-meter long vessels weighing up to 1,000kg with an explosive payload of up to 300kg, a range of 800km, and a maximum speed of 80kph. “The drone was remotely guided and semi-submerged–like a torpedo. “Of course it was our technology,” an American official told Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Seymour Hersh. Video taken from the adjacent railway bridge showed explosions that broke off a section of the road bridge near pillar 145, making it impossible for traffic to cross that section. A married couple was killed and their 14-year-old daughter was seriously injured in the blast. The media identified the deceased parents as Aleksey Kulik, 40, who worked as a truck driver and his wife Natalya, 36, who worked as an educator. Natalya’s sister, Alyona, told the SHOT news outlet that their families were traveling to Crimea together in two vehicles. Her car was in front and then she heard two explosions from behind. According to media reports, the blast wave forced the car’s engine into the compartment, killing Aleksey and Natalya on the spot. The 19 kilometer (12-mile) Crimean road bridge that spans the Kerch Strait and connects Crimea with mainland Russia was fully repaired and reopened in October 2023.

4) Why is the Ukraine government so obsessed with destroying the Crimean civilian road/rail bridge?

Opinion> The Crimean bridge is like a friendly handshake between two hands reaching across the open water. The Ukrainian military wants to vindictively sever the union of people. Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky admitted that one of his country's goal is to "cut off access" and "isolate" Crimea if Ukraine's 1991 borders are not restored. The Crimean Bridge was built between 2016 and 2018 and was the only road traffic and railway link between the Crimea peninsula and mainland Russia to the Krasnodar Region until 2022. In 2022, a vast land bridge to Crimea is now used for military vehicle transportation after Kherson and Zaporozhye regions and the People’s Republics of Donetsk and Lugansk voted to officially join the Russian Federation in September, 2022. The Ukrainian military operations that killed two parents and orphaned their 14-year-old daughter on the Crimean bridge is a war crime. Russian Federation's President Vladimir Putin described the attack as “brutal” and pointless from a military perspective, explaining that the Crimean bridge is not used to transport combat equipment and ammunition.

>On August 23, 2023 - Exactly two months after Wagner's armed protest, Evgeny Prigozhin’s private plane crashed north of Moscow during a flight from Moscow to St. Petersburg. Among the ten dead, in addition to the flight crew and bodyguards, were Dmitry Utkin (PMC operational commander), Valery ‘Rover’ Chekalov (PMC logistics chief) – and Evgeny Prigozhin (PMC owner).

5) What was the cause of Evgeny Prigozhin’s Embraer Legacy 600 private business jet crash north of Moscow during a short flight from Moscow to St. Petersburg?

Opinion> Unfortunately, no one will ever know exactly how Evgeny Prigozhin’s private plane exploded in mid air. The official investigated version of the crash was careless handling of a hand grenade on board the aircraft. Evgeny Prigozhin and his colleagues were risk takers however the pilot and stewardess, who were also on board, innocently/tragically lost their lives. Evgeny Prigozhin was an extraordinary man who was Incredibly energetic, ambitious, charismatic with polarized opinions. PMC Wagner inspired courage with admiration for their willingness to boldly go to very difficult, dangerous engagement lines for their Russian Federation. The PMC Wagner ‘Orchestra’ assault teams (along with the Russian Federation military) were heroes in the Artemovsk (Bakhmut) liberation. I personally will remember Evgeny Prigozhin announcing a battle victory in the salt mine cave in Soledar.

>On September 30, 2023 - The Russian Federation celebrated the first one year anniversary of the official ratification in the Russian Federation constitution that officially documented the reunification of the liberated People’s Republics of Donetsk (DPR), Lugansk (LPR), and Zaporozhye and Kherson regions with the Russian Federation. Referendums in the four regions were democratically held between September 23 and 27 in 2022. The number of those respective registered civilians who supported unification with Russia stood at 99.23% in the DPR, 98.42% in the LPR, 87% in Kherson Region, and 93.11% in Zaporozhye Region.

6) What is the significance of the anniversary of the reunification of the liberated People’s Republics of Donetsk (DPR), Lugansk (LPR), and Zaporozhye and Kherson regions with the Russian Federation?

Opinion> The unification of the liberated People’s Republics of Donetsk (DPR), Lugansk (LPR), and Zaporozhye and Kherson regions with the Russian Federation is enshrined in the Russian Federation's constitution. A future peace agreement treaty between Ukraine and the Russian Federation must acknowledge this fact and respect the will of their registered citizens. Russian President Vladimir Putin stated, "Now to address residents of the Donetsk People’s Republic, the Lugansk People’s Republic, the Zaporozhye Region and the Kherson Region. Thank you for your perseverance, determination and moral courage. I thank you for passing down our spiritual values, historical memory, traditions and culture across generations, and first of all, for your great love of the Fatherland, which is the greatest support for us all." The Russian president also said the unification of the new territories was a “conscious, long-awaited, hard-won, and genuinely popular decision ... made collectively through referendums in full compliance with international norms.” Deputy head of the Russian Federation’s Security Council, Dmitry Medvedev, wrote on his Telegram channel, “Their decision to be with their Fatherland became a symbol not only of the restoration of historical justice but also of the unity of the Russian people."

>On December 26, 2023 - The Russian naval landing ship Novocherkassk (docked in a port in Crimea), used for transportation of large military equipment cargoes and troops for amphibious assault operations, sustained heavy damage from an attack by Ukrainian air force Sukhoi Su-24 bombers firing either British-made Storm Shadow cruise missiles or similar, French-made SCALP-EGs. The Storm Shadow and SCALP, both weighing around 3,000 pounds, have tandem warheads. One charge to punch a hole in a target and a second to blow up the target from the inside. These missiles are propelled at Mach 0.8 and have a range of approximately 250 kilometers (160 miles).

7) What is the significance of this Ukrainian attack using NATO weapons?

Opinion> Another proof of NATO's direct involvement in another proxy conflict for the objective of USA/EU/UK world domination. NATO enabled Ukraine to test accuracy/strength of their NATO lethal weapons on real targets in combat military operations rather than simulated exercises. NATO enabled a proxy Ukrainian military to test their NATO combat offensive/defensive strategies. NATO works hand in glove with the USA/EU/UK military industrial complex and American civilian technology corporations, such as Starlink secure voice/data/internet communications and Google reconnaissance/surveillance map data from satellites, that completely enabled Ukraine for proxy military operations against the Russian Federation.

>On January 24, 2024 - An Il-76 military transport aircraft, transporting 65 Ukrainian prisoners of war (POW), was deliberately shot down by the Ukrainian military with two MIM-104A surface-to-air missiles, launched from a Patriot battery located near the village of Liptsy in the Kharkov region, approximately 10 km from the Russian border. A total of 74 people were on board the aircraft that included Russian experienced pilots and crew members in addition to 65 Ukrainian selected prisoners of war. The Russian Defense Ministry stressed that the Ukrainian government was notified about the aircraft flight path and called this incident a terrorist attack. Investigative Committee Spokeswoman, Svetlana Petrenko, stated, "A criminal probe into the terrorist attack on the Russian Il-76 plane in the Belgorod Region has collected evidence confirming the involvement of Ukrainian military forces in that crime." While Ukraine had agreed for an exchange of POWs to take place on the border between the Belgorod and Sumy regions on January 24, the Ukrainian Defense Ministry's Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) issued an order to destroy the aircraft carrying 65 Ukrainian nationals. According to Svetlana Petrenko, fragments of the USA Patriot missile casings and mechanisms were found at the crash site scene.

8) Why would Ukraine's military shoot down a plane carrying their own prisoners of war?

Opinion - The Ukrainian government perversely decided the proportionality of 9 skilled Russian crew members including pilots and a multi-million dollar Il-76 aircraft was worth more than 65 Ukrainian prisoners of war. Since the Ukrainian government knew that a high risk false flag accusation of the Russian government would eventually fail due to USA Patriot missile casing and mechanism evidence, the Ukrainian government diabolically concluded that their own 65 Ukrainian POW citizens were expendable in order to murder 9 Russians and destroy a Russian multi-million dollar aircraft. The Ukrainian government/military do not have a conscience as demonstrated by their numerous previous war crimes.

>On January 31, 2024 - The Ivanovets (Russian guided missile ship) was attacked by Ukrainian MAGURA V5 maritime sea drones. The Ivanovets (docked on Crimean waters) was severely damaged and sank according to Ukrainian military intelligence.

>On February 14, 2024 - The Cesar Kunikov (Russian amphibious assault large landing ship) was attacked by Ukrainian MAGURA V5 sea drones. The Cesar Kunikov (docked on Crimean waters) was severely damaged and sank according to Ukrainian military intelligence. These remotely controlled unmanned suicide sea drones (perversely nick named "sea babies" by Ukraine) cost approximately $250,000 each and can reach speeds of up to 50mph (80kmh) with a striking range of 800km.

9) How can the Russian Federation safeguard their Black Sea fleet?

Opinion - The Russian Federation must deploy their own faster, autonomous and remote controlled unmanned surface vehicle (USV) fleet to chase down and neutralize this Ukrainian sea drone threat. Also, the Russian Federation must deploy autonomous buoys equipped with lookout cameras or radar to detect and with lasers or automatic weapons to destroy these Ukrainian sea drones. (These difficult to neutralize robotic amphibious sea drones can be remotely controlled or in autonomous mode are capable of performing various tasks of suicide explosive missions, surveillance, reconnaissance, patrolling, laying mines, search and rescues.) These difficult to neutralize sea drone swarms appear to evade crew-served machine gun fire by “chasing splashes,” a method of fire evasion. This tactic involves steering one’s sea drone toward the splashes made by a miss. As the gun director corrects aim from the splash to the actual location of the target, the target vessel maneuvers toward the location of the splash, thereby causing the aim correction to again result in a miss. Also, an unmanned sea drone has a significant advantage in maneuverability compared to a large ship. The conflict between maneuver and point defense vanishes if a ship remains outside a sea drone's effective range or engages at safe range. Effective safe range requires space and reaction time to increase the objective of neutralizing the sea drone threat. Safe range requires a reliance on weapons beyond those of point defense, especially those using digital computerized fire control or smart ammunition with a proximity fuze.

>On February 17, 2024 - The Russian Ministry of Defense announced that Avdeevka – a heavily fortified stronghold city held captive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) located northwest of Donetsk city in the Donetsk People's Republic– was liberated!

10) What is the significance of the liberation of the industrial city Avdeevka?

Opinion - The miraculous achievement and very difficult liberation of Avdeevka capped off and culminated a very successful 2nd year of the Russian Federation's "special military operation". The liberation of Avdeevka pushed away short range Ukrainian artillery from Donetsk city, secured strategically important logistic supply routes (the Donetsk-Gorlovka highway and "Yasinovataya fork" railway junction), safe-guarded the water filtration purification plant, captured the “Zenit” powerful stronghold – (a former Soviet air defense base that was equipped for global confrontation between NATO and the Warsaw Pact), and took control of the Avdeevka Coke and Chemical Plant (a major metallurgical facility). Artemovsk (Bakhmut), Soledar, and Maryinka were also very notable strategic chess piece liberations. Avdeevka and Artemovsk were like rooks and Soledar and Maryinka were like white knights on the chess board.