Russia's "special military operation" 20 Questions & Opinions
Question 21 - Is it all about the money, Russian Federation security, or something more profound? > The photo may or may not be the answer depending on your perspective.
Why did Russia start this “special military operation”?
>Russia’s move on the chess board. Allow Ukraine to take Donetsk and Lugansk Peoples Republics in March 2022 -OR- prevent that from happening in February.
Why did Russia officially announce that there were NO plans to “invade Ukraine” as predicted by USA officials and then proceed to launch a “special military operation”?
>Element of surprise has strategic military value. Preceding that, Russia tried to reach a diplomatic solution with USA/EU only to be rebuffed with credible threats. Ukraine’s ambition to take Donetsk and Lugansk by force in March, join NATO in the future, host NATO troop battalions, acquire nuclear weapons was a serious credible threat. Hence, the crossing of red lines were preempted and circumvented.
Was Russia’s credibility damaged in launching this “special military operation”?
>Yes, however public relation sides were already determined. One already either approves or disapproves Russia’s role in handling the events of Ukraine putsch in 2014. One already either approves or disapproves of President Putin’s support of the Donetsk and Lugansk Peoples Republics.
Why didn’t Russia launch the “special military operation” in 2014 when it would have been so much easier with far less collateral damage?
>Reunification with Crimea was the only objective goal at that time. Having a “special status” of Donetsk and Lugansk Peoples Republics within Ukraine would ensure a veto of Ukraine membership in NATO and enshrine rights of Russian language. Russia trusted France and Germany in an association agreement (signed in Minsk) for Donetsk and Lugansk Peoples Republics’ “special status” peace security.
Are the Donetsk and Lugansk Peoples Republics so strategically important for Russian security in that a “special military operation” was the only solution?
>No as an answer in the territorial aspect since the Russian Federation has nuclear weapons to deter NATO/Ukraine and defend their motherland. Yes as an answer in the humanitarian ethnicity aspect. Yes as an answer in solving the problem of Ukraine’s FUTURE threats to Russia’s security aspect. (preventing NATO membership and preventing pretext false flag on Crimea’s border)
Would Russia’s security be compromised in the future IF Russia refrained from a “special military operation”?
>Yes, most definitely. First, Ukraine would have conducted a “special military operation” to conquer the Donetsk and Lugansk Peoples Republics in March 2022. All those war weapons are NOT given to Ukraine to collect dust and rust. Second, Ukraine would have fulfilled their nuclear weapon ambitions. Third, Ukraine would have joined NATO. Fourth, Ukraine would have been emboldened to stage a false flag event as a pretext to capture Crimea. Fifth, Ukraine would have used pathogen aerosols and bacterial disease tick vectors on Russian border areas via Turkish drones. https://www.rt.com/russia/553067-ukraine-biolabs-hunter-biden-documents/
Why is this “special military operation” going so slowly for Russia the superpower?
>Ukraine is violating the Law of Armed Combat (LOAC) and Geneva Conventions by using human shields. Russia has to take time in de-mining roads, eliminating snipers, keeping supply lines open, compensating for jammed communications and poorly devised Moscow-based central command orders, caring for overwhelming number of injured and deceased soldiers. Combat is very difficult> hygiene, shell shock, sleep deprivation. Urban and suburban combat is painstakingly slow in order to minimize collateral damage.
What is the end game for Russia’s “special military operation”?
>Restore Crimea’s fresh water source (Done!)
>Ukraine’s acceptance of Crimea as Russian territory
>Ukraine’s acceptance of Donetsk and Lugansk Republics’ self determination
>Demilitarize Ukraine’s lethal weapons and stop nuclear procurement
>Establish Demilitarized Zone (DMZ) buffer between Russia and Ukraine
>De-nazify Ukraine as much as possible and tone down ethnic Russian hatred
>Eliminate Ukraine’s bio labs threat
Are Russia’s victory goal objectives attainable?
>Only if Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and General Valery Gerasimov are
fired and replaced with someone who has a better battle plan and is more adept to adapt the advice from battle field commanders. De-nazification has not been achieved in 70 years so that goal is next to impossible.
Will Russians continue to support the “special military operation”?
>Those that currently do >will continue to do so. Russians do NOT want their Russian sacrifices to be in vain. And those that currently don’t >will continue to think this “special military operation” is wrong and unjustified. More gaffs and goofs from the Moscow central military leadership resulting in heavy casualties will change the calculus in this equation very dramatically. The longer this “special military operation” continues without goals achieved results in losing support over time.
Why is Chechnya leader Ramzan Kadyrov involved in the “special military operation”?
>President Putin accepted Ramzan Kadyrov’s much needed help in fighting the heinous AZOV battalion in the Donetsk Peoples Republic. Chechnya’s Akhmat special forces are skillful fearless fighters. Ramzan Kadyrov and his Chechen Akhmat fearless fighters are much more loyal to President Putin than any Russian oligarch. The AZOV Battalion days in Mariupol are a tragic history lesson.
Why is Roman Abramovich, a Russian oligarch, involved in the negotiations?
>Russia is an oligarchy federation with inception courtesy of Boris Yeltsin. Russia already had their “great reset” in 1991/1992 when the Soviet money became worthless and power brokers swooped in to STEAL national enterprise assets for kopecks on the ruble. Russian oligarchs act as power brokers trading favors for favors. Apparently Roman is trusted and respected on both sides for discreet reasons that are secretly sure to boggle the mind.
Can Russia’s lead peace negotiator Vladimir Medinsky be trusted?
>No! Vladimir Medinsky has so far failed expectations of Russians who support the objectives of Russia’s “special military operation”. Medinsky’s soft spokenness loudly amplifies his wimpy push over persona by allowing discussion of Crimea’s future status to be decided within 15 years.
Why are peace accord negotiations going so slow?
>Ukraine has always had the strategy of prolonging talks to the point of frustration. The Minsk accords were systematically disregarded by delay tactic decisions that went around in circles. Four weeks of negotiations went by WITHOUT Ukraine formulating a formal official position. Russian negotiators have no leverage to use at this point in time in April 2022. Russian military top leadership is failing to deliver that much needed leverage.
Can Ukraine be trusted to abide by a peace documented settlement?
>No! Both Minsk accords signed in 2014 and 2015 were ignored. So why would Russia trust Ukraine now? A peace accord signed by President Zelensky is very unlikely to be ratified by the Verkhovna Rada (Parliament). In fact the Verkhovna Rada passed a law on April 1st 2022 allowing Russian government property and Russian citizen property to be nationalized by Ukraine.
Can Russia withstand an all out economic and demonic assault on the Russian Federation?
>Yes, albeit a tremendous hardship. If Russians can withstand the hardship incurred during the Great Patriotic War, then this is a very bitter inconvenience to say the least. Job losses across the board are staggering. RT news agency has had their worldwide audience dramatically diminished. Russian and western business partnerships have been severed across the board. Aeroflot Russian Airlines are restricted from flying to almost all countries by illegal western sanctions. Flights in and out of Russia can still be improvised via transit connection flights albeit an expensive headache. Most important, the basic NEEDS in life >food, petrol, gas heating security is guaranteed.
How long can Russia withstand the most intense sanctions in human history?
>As long as required, (look at Cuba).
Is Russia’s “special military operation” worth it?
>Yes, for those who survive in a healthy condition with a still standing cozy home/apartment. Yes, only if Russia secured a space on the strategic chessboard that FOREVER safeguards sovereignty from western hegemony. No, for those who have sacrificed too much. No, if Russia fails to achieve the desired objectives and goals.
Who will blink first (Russia or Ukraine)?
>Neither as pressure will mount on both sides to reach a settlement. Although the way the battle has evolved so far, Ukraine has the wherewithal to hold out longer with the western backing of guerrilla hit and run warfare tactics accompanied by an endless supply of weapons.
When will this “special military operation” end?
>My personal positive prediction is before winter in December 2022. My personal negative prediction is before Russian elections in 2025. Russia has the superior military force. Ukraine has the home field advantage. Russia respects and abides by the Law of Armed Combat and Geneva conventions. Ukraine violates the Law of Armed Combat and Geneva Conventions. Good (respect for humanity) VERSUS evil (disrespect for humanity). Time is of the essence to complete the “special military operation” as soon as possible.
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